{"id":26962,"date":"2022-09-20T10:20:51","date_gmt":"2022-09-20T10:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/"},"modified":"2022-11-11T22:18:06","modified_gmt":"2022-11-11T22:18:06","password":"","slug":"ercas-corruption-risk-forecast","status":"publish","type":"docs","link":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"943\" height=\"654\" src=\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-24409\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png 943w, https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast-768x533.png 768w, https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast-370x257.png 370w, https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast-840x583.png 840w, https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast-410x284.png 410w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 943px) 100vw, 943px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n<p>The Corruption<em>Risk Forecast<\/em> is built on a new generation of objective corruption indicators. It allows for the forecasting of trends at the country level, giving investors and business strategists insight into future corruption risks, and allows international activists and donors to target countries where interventions can have the greatest impact.<\/p>\n\n<p>The forecast is based on 12 years of data on corruption control, including 5 components of the IPI: Administrative Transparency, Budget Transparency, Judicial Independence, Press Freedom, and Electronic Citizenship. These trends are moderated by recent political events.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer sc_height_medium\"><\/div>\n\n<p><strong>Promoter Entity:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.againstcorruption.eu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The European Research Centre for Anti-Corruption and State-Building<em>(ERCAS<\/em>).<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p><strong>More information:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.corruptionrisk.org\/forecast\/\">http:\/\/www.corruptionrisk.org\/forecast<\/a><\/p>\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer sc_height_medium\"><\/div>\n\n<p>Video of an event to present the <em>Corruption Risk Forecast<\/em>, organized by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cipe.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Center for International Private Enterprise<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"The Corruption Risk Forecast: A Next-Generation Corruption Analysis Tool\" width=\"1290\" height=\"726\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/w2g535LNxfQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The CorruptionRisk Forecast is built on a new generation of objective corruption indicators. It allows&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"doc_category":[343],"doc_tag":[331,346,344],"class_list":["post-26962","docs","type-docs","status-publish","hentry","doc_category-indices-rankings-barometers","doc_tag-academia-research","doc_tag-indices-rankings-en","doc_tag-organizational-integrity"],"acf":[],"year_month":"2026-04","word_count":130,"total_views":"289","reactions":{"happy":"0","normal":"0","sad":"0"},"author_info":{"name":"escolas","author_nicename":"escolas","author_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/author\/escolas\/"},"doc_category_info":[{"term_name":"Indices, Rankings &amp; Barometers","term_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/categoria\/indices-rankings-barometers\/"}],"doc_tag_info":[{"term_name":"Academia &amp; Research","term_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/tag\/academia-research\/"},{"term_name":"Indices &amp; Rankings","term_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/tag\/indices-rankings-en\/"},{"term_name":"Organizational Integrity","term_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/tag\/organizational-integrity\/"}],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The CorruptionRisk Forecast is built on a new generation of objective corruption indicators. It allows&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ALL4INTEGRITY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/all4integrity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-11-11T22:18:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@All4Integrity\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/\",\"name\":\"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-09-20T10:20:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-11-11T22:18:06+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/\",\"name\":\"ALL4INTEGRITY\",\"description\":\"Mobiliza\u00e7\u00e3o e Solu\u00e7\u00f5es contra a Corrup\u00e7\u00e3o\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#organization\",\"name\":\"All4Integrity\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/logotipo-all4integrity-1.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/logotipo-all4integrity-1.png\",\"width\":600,\"height\":137,\"caption\":\"All4Integrity\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/all4integrity\/\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/All4Integrity\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/all_4_integrity\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UC03HJFKiaCStfIHFnfdRbvA\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/associao-all4integrity\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY","og_description":"The CorruptionRisk Forecast is built on a new generation of objective corruption indicators. It allows&hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/","og_site_name":"ALL4INTEGRITY","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/all4integrity\/","article_modified_time":"2022-11-11T22:18:06+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@All4Integrity","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/","url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/","name":"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast - ALL4INTEGRITY","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png","datePublished":"2022-09-20T10:20:51+00:00","dateModified":"2022-11-11T22:18:06+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Corruption-Risk-Forecast.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/tech4integrity\/knowledge-center\/ercas-corruption-risk-forecast\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ERCAS: Corruption Risk Forecast"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/","name":"ALL4INTEGRITY","description":"Mobiliza\u00e7\u00e3o e Solu\u00e7\u00f5es contra a Corrup\u00e7\u00e3o","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#organization","name":"All4Integrity","url":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/logotipo-all4integrity-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/all4integrity.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/logotipo-all4integrity-1.png","width":600,"height":137,"caption":"All4Integrity"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/all4integrity\/","https:\/\/x.com\/All4Integrity","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/all_4_integrity\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UC03HJFKiaCStfIHFnfdRbvA","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/associao-all4integrity\/"]}]}},"knowledge_base_info":[],"knowledge_base_slug":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/26962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/docs"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/98"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26962"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/26962\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"doc_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_category?post=26962"},{"taxonomy":"doc_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.all4integrity.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_tag?post=26962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}